Carrabelle Fishing Forecast

The week ahead

Best day this week: Saturday (80/100, prime) — 8 mph SW, 2 ft tide incoming through sunrise, 1.2 ft seas, storms around.

Ratings refresh through the day as the forecast models update. The dashboard shows the same scores with the charts behind them.

Best time to fish Carrabelle

The river mouth and the sound cuts fish best on a moving tide, and the offshore run wants a calm morning.

On any given day, the windows above are the honest answer: they weight moving water first — the middle hours of a falling or incoming tide — then the solunar periods (moon overhead and underfoot), first and last light, and they subtract for wind that makes the water unfishable and for lightning. A slow day still shows its best hour or two, because that’s when you’d go.

How the rating works

Every day gets a 0–100 score from the same data the rest of Salty Forecast runs on: wind carries the most weight (32%), because it decides whether you can even fish, then tide movement (26%), seas at the nearest offshore buoy (12%), and sky, barometer and moon phase (10% each). A falling barometer ahead of a front scores high; a hard post-frontal rise scores low. Nothing here is a black box — the factor bars above show exactly what helped and what hurt.

Generic solunar calculators give Carrabelle the same “activity” times as a lake in Ohio, because they only look at the moon. The moon matters — it’s in here — but a 20 mph wind or 4-foot seas beats it every time, and that’s why this score reads the whole picture.

Common questions

Is today a good day to fish Carrabelle?

Today rates 63/100 (fair). Worth a trip — 9 mph W, gusts 34, 2.1 ft tide falling through sunrise, 2.6 ft seas, falling barometer. This updates through the day as the forecast models refresh.

What time should I fish Carrabelle today?

Today's best windows are 7–11 AM (first light + falling tide) and 4–5 PM (moon overhead or underfoot) and 7–8 PM (last light). Moving water is the biggest single factor — the middle of a tide swing beats slack water almost everywhere.

What's the best day to fish Carrabelle this week?

Saturday looks strongest at 80/100 (prime) — 8 mph SW, 2 ft tide incoming through sunrise, 1.2 ft seas, storms around. The week-ahead table above updates as the outlook firms up.

How is this different from a solunar calendar?

Solunar tables only track the moon, so every town gets the same "activity" times. This rating starts with what actually cancels trips — wind, seas and lightning — then adds real NOAA tide movement, barometric trend and the moon. When a day scores Prime here, it means the whole picture lines up, not just the calendar.

Nearby fishing forecasts

• St. George Is. · 17 mi
• Apalachicola · 21 mi
• Cape San Blas · 43 mi
• Mexico Beach · 45 mi
• St. Andrews · 63 mi

More for Carrabelle: fishing weather · tide chart