Salty Forecast

Forgotten Coast

Carrabelle Fishing Forecast

Should you go? A straight answer for Carrabelle — scored 0–100 from the actual wind, tide movement, seas, sky and barometer, not just moon tables. Built around redfish, speckled trout, grouper.

Today on the water

Today
64/ 100
Good fishing

Worth a trip — 12 mph SE, gusts 26, 2.5 ft tide falling through sunrise, 4.3 ft seas.

Boating: Choppy · seas ~4.3 ft · 2.5 ft of tide

Today’s bite windows

  • 7–10 AMGoodfirst light + falling tide
  • 6–9 PMGoodmoon overhead or underfoot + last light

Wind against tide: 10 AM–1 PM — 18 mph S into the outgoing tide (rough). Expect steep, close-together waves in the pass on that stretch.

What’s driving it

  • Wind12 mph SE, gusts 26
  • Tide2.5 ft range · 1 in daylight
  • Seas4.3 ft @ 5 s
  • Sky58% rain chance
  • Barometer-0.01 inHg over the day
  • Moonlast quarter

The week ahead

Best day this week: Friday (76/100, good) — 13 mph NE, gusts 23, 2 ft tide falling through sunrise, 1.6 ft seas, strong moon tides.

DayFishingBoatingWindTide swingSeas
Today64 GoodChoppy12 mph, gusts 262.5 ft4.3 ft
Sun, 10/469 GoodChoppy11 mph, gusts 262.2 ft3.1 ft
Mon, 10/573 GoodChoppy9 mph, gusts 151.9 ft2.2 ft
Tue, 10/662 FairChoppy15 mph, gusts 221.7 ft3.1 ft
Wed, 10/756 FairRough15 mph, gusts 291.7 ft3.8 ft
Thu, 10/862 FairChoppy13 mph, gusts 271.6 ft3 ft
Fri, 10/9★ best76 GoodGood13 mph, gusts 232 ft1.6 ft

Ratings refresh through the day as the forecast models update. The dashboard shows the same scores with the charts behind them.

Best time to fish Carrabelle

The river mouth and the sound cuts fish best on a moving tide, and the offshore run wants a calm morning.

On any given day, the windows above are the honest answer: they weight moving water first — the middle hours of a falling or incoming tide — then the solunar periods (moon overhead and underfoot), first and last light, and they subtract for wind that makes the water unfishable and for lightning. A slow day still shows its best hour or two, because that’s when you’d go.

How the rating works

Every day gets a 0–100 score from the same data the rest of Salty Forecast runs on: wind carries the most weight (32%), because it decides whether you can even fish, then tide movement (26%), seas at the nearest offshore buoy (12%), and sky, barometer and moon phase (10% each). A falling barometer ahead of a front scores high; a hard post-frontal rise scores low. Nothing here is a black box — the factor bars above show exactly what helped and what hurt.

Generic solunar calculators give Carrabelle the same “activity” times as a lake in Ohio, because they only look at the moon. The moon matters — it’s in here — but a 20 mph wind or 4-foot seas beats it every time, and that’s why this score reads the whole picture.

Live now on the dashboard

The full Carrabelle dashboard has this rating beside live radar, the tide curve, hourly wind and the 14-day outlook — free, no account.

Open the live Carrabelle dashboard →

Common questions

Is today a good day to fish Carrabelle?
Today rates 64/100 (good). Worth a trip — 12 mph SE, gusts 26, 2.5 ft tide falling through sunrise, 4.3 ft seas. This updates through the day as the forecast models refresh.
What time should I fish Carrabelle today?
Today's best windows are 7–10 AM (first light + falling tide) and 6–9 PM (moon overhead or underfoot + last light). Moving water is the biggest single factor — the middle of a tide swing beats slack water almost everywhere.
What's the best day to fish Carrabelle this week?
Friday looks strongest at 76/100 (good) — 13 mph NE, gusts 23, 2 ft tide falling through sunrise, 1.6 ft seas, strong moon tides. The week-ahead table above updates as the outlook firms up.
How is this different from a solunar calendar?
Solunar tables only track the moon, so every town gets the same "activity" times. This rating starts with what actually cancels trips — wind, seas and lightning — then adds real NOAA tide movement, barometric trend and the moon. When a day scores Prime here, it means the whole picture lines up, not just the calendar.

Nearby fishing forecasts

More for Carrabelle: fishing weather · tide chart

Scored from the Open-Meteo model blend, NOAA tide predictions and the marine wave model. A planning aid, not a guarantee — fish don’t read forecasts, and neither wind nor lightning cares about your plans. Check conditions before you run.