Live tropical activity for the Florida coast, mirrored from the National Hurricane Center. The season runs through November 30. The climatological peak, September 10, has passed.
The National Hurricane Center is the official source
Everything on this page is copied from NHC products and linked back to them. For decisions about your safety, property or travel, use the official advisories and whatever your county emergency management office is telling you — not this page, and not any app.
Its center is currently about 2876 miles from Port Canaveral. That is where it is now, not where it is going — the forecast track and cone are on the NHC advisory.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Fay, located several hundred miles southwest of the Azores.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
Forecaster Pasch
Issued Mon, 21 Sep 2026 11:28:08 GMT. Reproduced verbatim from the National Hurricane Center (public domain). View on nhc.noaa.gov ↗
What the forecast cone actually means
The cone is the most misread graphic in weather. It shows where the center of the storm is likely to track — historically the center stays inside it about two thirds of the time, which also means it lands outside it one time in three. It says nothing at all about how big the storm is.
A large hurricane can bring damaging wind, surge and flooding rain hundreds of miles from the line down the middle. Being outside the cone is not an all-clear, and being on the edge of it is not a near miss. Read the watches and warnings for your own county rather than measuring your distance from the line.
Watches and warnings
Watch
Conditions are possible within about 48 hours. This is the point to finish preparations, not to start thinking about them.
Warning
Conditions are expected within about 36 hours. Preparations should already be complete, because the weather will deteriorate before the storm arrives.
Storm surge warning
Life-threatening flooding from rising water is expected. On this coast surge is the hazard that kills people, and it is driven by the shape of the shelf and the angle of approach rather than the category number.
The Saffir–Simpson scale
The category is based on sustained wind speed alone. It deliberately says nothing about rainfall, surge or the size of the storm — which is why a Category 1 can still be the costliest thing to happen to a coastline in a decade.
Category
Sustained wind
Typical effect
Tropical Storm
39–73 mph
Downed limbs, minor damage, dangerous seas
Category 1
74–95 mph
Roof, siding and gutter damage; days-long outages
Category 2
96–110 mph
Major roof and siding damage; near-total power loss
Category 3
111–129 mph
Devastating. Water and power out for days to weeks
Category 4
130–156 mph
Catastrophic. Most of the area uninhabitable for weeks
Category 5
157+ mph
Catastrophic. A high share of framed homes destroyed
Common questions
Is a hurricane coming to Florida right now?
There is currently 1 active system in the Atlantic basin: Fay. Whether any of them affects Florida is a question for the NHC forecast track, linked above. This page mirrors the National Hurricane Center and updates through the day, but NHC's own advisories are the official word.
When is hurricane season in Florida?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. Activity climbs sharply through August, peaks around September 10, and falls away through October. The overwhelming majority of Florida landfalls happen between mid-August and mid-October.
Does being outside the forecast cone mean I am safe?
No. The cone shows the likely track of the storm's center — historically it stays inside about two thirds of the time — and says nothing about the storm's size. Damaging wind, storm surge and flooding rain regularly reach far outside the cone. Follow the watches and warnings issued for your own county.
What is the difference between a hurricane watch and a warning?
A watch means hurricane conditions are possible within about 48 hours; a warning means they are expected within about 36 hours. Because conditions deteriorate ahead of the storm itself, preparations need to be finished by the time a warning is issued.
Is this hurricane tracker free?
Yes, entirely. Salty Forecast has no ads, no account, no paid tier and nothing held back behind an upgrade. The underlying data comes from the National Hurricane Center, which is public domain.
Local conditions
Radar, wind, tides and water temperature for every town we cover:
Salty Forecast is a free, ad-free weather site and is not affiliated with NOAA, the National Weather Service or the National Hurricane Center. NHC products shown here are US Government works in the public domain. Nothing on this page is an official forecast or an instruction to act — for that, use hurricanes.gov and your county emergency management office.