Salty Forecast

Lemon Bay & Charlotte Harbor

Stump Pass · Englewood Beach Fishing Forecast

Should you go? A straight answer for Stump Pass — scored 0–100 from the actual wind, tide movement, seas, sky and barometer, not just moon tables. Built around snook, redfish, spotted seatrout.

Today on the water

Today
75/ 100
Good fishing

Worth a trip — 11 mph W, 1.1 ft tide falling through sunrise, 2 ft seas, falling barometer.

Boating: Good · seas ~2 ft · 1.1 ft of tide

Today’s bite windows

  • 7–11 AMGoodfirst light + falling tide
  • 4–6 PMGoodmoon overhead or underfoot

What’s driving it

  • Wind11 mph W, gusts 16
  • Tide1.1 ft range · 2 in daylight
  • Seas2 ft peak
  • Sky1% rain chance
  • Barometer-0.05 inHg over the day
  • Moonwaxing crescent

The week ahead

Best day this week: Saturday (80/100, prime) — 8 mph W, 1.3 ft tide incoming through sunrise, 1 ft seas.

DayFishingBoatingWindTide swingSeas
Today75 GoodGood11 mph, gusts 161.1 ft2 ft
Wed, 8/1958 FairChoppy11 mph, gusts 321.1 ft2.3 ft
Thu, 8/2066 GoodGood9 mph, gusts 251.2 ft1.8 ft
Fri, 8/2179 GoodGreat9 mph, gusts 111.2 ft1 ft
Sat, 8/22★ best80 PrimeGreat8 mph, gusts 101.3 ft1 ft
Sun, 8/2377 GoodGreat8 mph, gusts 111.4 ft1.2 ft
Mon, 8/2480 PrimeGreat7 mph, gusts 131.5 ft0.7 ft

Ratings refresh through the day as the forecast models update. The dashboard shows the same scores with the charts behind them.

Best time to fish Stump Pass

Snook and reds feed hardest as the tide rips through the pass; the hour either side of the change is gold.

On any given day, the windows above are the honest answer: they weight moving water first — the middle hours of a falling or incoming tide — then the solunar periods (moon overhead and underfoot), first and last light, and they subtract for wind that makes the water unfishable and for lightning. A slow day still shows its best hour or two, because that’s when you’d go.

How the rating works

Every day gets a 0–100 score from the same data the rest of Salty Forecast runs on: wind carries the most weight (32%), because it decides whether you can even fish, then tide movement (26%), seas at the nearest offshore buoy (12%), and sky, barometer and moon phase (10% each). A falling barometer ahead of a front scores high; a hard post-frontal rise scores low. Nothing here is a black box — the factor bars above show exactly what helped and what hurt.

Generic solunar calculators give Stump Pass the same “activity” times as a lake in Ohio, because they only look at the moon. The moon matters — it’s in here — but a 20 mph wind or 4-foot seas beats it every time, and that’s why this score reads the whole picture.

Live now on the dashboard

The full Stump Pass dashboard has this rating beside live radar, the tide curve, hourly wind and the 14-day outlook — free, no account.

Open the live Stump Pass dashboard →

Common questions

Is today a good day to fish Stump Pass?
Today rates 75/100 (good). Worth a trip — 11 mph W, 1.1 ft tide falling through sunrise, 2 ft seas, falling barometer. This updates through the day as the forecast models refresh.
What time should I fish Stump Pass today?
Today's best windows are 7–11 AM (first light + falling tide) and 4–6 PM (moon overhead or underfoot). Moving water is the biggest single factor — the middle of a tide swing beats slack water almost everywhere.
What's the best day to fish Stump Pass this week?
Saturday looks strongest at 80/100 (prime) — 8 mph W, 1.3 ft tide incoming through sunrise, 1 ft seas. The week-ahead table above updates as the outlook firms up.
How is this different from a solunar calendar?
Solunar tables only track the moon, so every town gets the same "activity" times. This rating starts with what actually cancels trips — wind, seas and lightning — then adds real NOAA tide movement, barometric trend and the moon. When a day scores Prime here, it means the whole picture lines up, not just the calendar.

Nearby fishing forecasts

More for Stump Pass: fishing weather · tide chart

Scored from the Open-Meteo model blend, NOAA tide predictions and the marine wave model. A planning aid, not a guarantee — fish don’t read forecasts, and neither wind nor lightning cares about your plans. Check conditions before you run.