2026 Atlantic hurricane season

Tropical Storm Josephine (2026)

Subtropical Storm Josephine is active. This page is Josephine’s permanent record: every National Hurricane Center advisory, its peak so far and its track, kept here after the storm is gone.

LiveSubtropical Storm Josephine · NHC advisory 1Open the live tracker →

NHC is the official source. This page mirrors its products — for decisions, follow hurricanes.gov ↗ and your county emergency management.

Subtropical StormActive · Atlantic

Josephine

SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORMS

FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES

Advisory 1 · issued Wed 5 PM ETNext advisory Wed 11 PM ET

Saffir–Simpson scale

Max wind

63mph

Gusts 75 mph

Pressure

990mb

29.23 inHg

Moving

N7 mph

Heading 10°

Center

37.4°N 69.5°W

As of Wed 5 PM ET

Intensity forecast

NHC max sustained wind · times ET

Tap or hover a point for gusts and category.

Josephine NHC intensity forecast, times ET
Time	Max wind (mph)	Gusts (mph)	Category
Wed 2 PM	63	75	TS
Thu 2 AM	69	86	TS
Thu 2 PM	75	92	Cat 1
Fri 2 AM	81	98	Cat 1
Fri 2 PM	69	86	TS
Sat 2 AM	58	69	TS
Sat 2 PM	52	63	TS
Sun 2 PM	46	58	TS

NHC Advisory 1 for Josephine · issued 500 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2026 · NHC updates every 3–6 hours, more often near landfall.

TSWed 2 PM ET· 63 mphlatest fix

Cone (center path)Forecast trackPast track39+ mph winds58+ mph winds74+ mph winds

Saffir–SimpsonTDTS12345D depression · S storm · H hurricane · M major

Drag the clock to move through NHC’s forecast. Between its forecast points the position and wind are our straight-line estimate (marked ≈); wind fields are NHC’s, out to day 3. NHC advisory 1 · 500 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2026.

Closest forecast approach to Stump Pass

~1040 mi east of Stump Pass

Wed 2 PM ET · forecast 63 mph TS

NHC puts the chance of tropical-storm-force winds (39+ mph) at Stump Pass below 5% on this advisory. Rain bands, surf and higher water can still reach well beyond that line.

Measured to NHC’s forecast center line. The storm is hundreds of miles wide, the center tracks outside the cone about a third of the time, and surge depends on angle and side, not distance. Use your county’s watches, warnings and evacuation orders — not this number — to make decisions.

Forecast positions and strength

When (ET)	Position	Wind	Gusts
Now	37.4°N 69.5°W	63 mph TS	75 mph
Thu 2 AM	38.1°N 69.0°W	69 mph TS	86 mph
Thu 2 PM	39.6°N 66.2°W	75 mph Cat 1	92 mph
Fri 2 AM	41.4°N 61.6°W	81 mph Cat 1	98 mph
Fri 2 PM	43.3°N 56.9°W	69 mph TS	86 mph
Sat 2 AM	44.1°N 53.5°W	58 mph TS	69 mph
Sat 2 PM	44.4°N 50.4°W	52 mph TS	63 mph
Sun 2 PM	43.5°N 37.5°W	46 mph TS	58 mph

From the National Hurricane Center

Official NHC graphics for Subtropical Storm Josephine

Images: NOAA / National Hurricane Center (public domain); refreshed with each advisory.

NHC 5-day forecast cone for Subtropical Storm Josephine with coastal watches and warnings — 5-day forecast coneWhere the center is likely to track, with coastal watches and warnings. The center stays inside the cone only about two thirds of the time, and the cone says nothing about the storm's size.Open full size on nhc.noaa.gov

NHC 5-day probability of tropical-storm-force (39 mph) winds for Subtropical Storm Josephine — Chance of tropical-storm-force windsThe odds of sustained winds of 39 mph or more at each spot over the next five days — a better answer to “will it reach me” than the cone.Open full size on nhc.noaa.gov

NHC earliest reasonable arrival time of tropical-storm-force winds from Subtropical Storm Josephine — Earliest reasonable arrival of tropical-storm windsThe time to have prep finished by: only about a 1-in-10 chance 39 mph winds arrive any sooner.Open full size on nhc.noaa.gov

NHC most likely arrival time of tropical-storm-force winds from Subtropical Storm Josephine — Most likely arrival of tropical-storm windsA coin-flip time — winds are as likely to arrive before it as after, so don't plan to the last hour.Open full size on nhc.noaa.gov

Josephine so far

First advisory: 5:00 PM AST Wed Oct 21
Peak winds so far: 65 mph; First reported in advisory 1
Lowest pressure so far: 990 mb
Public advisories: 1

How NHC classified it

Subtropical Storm Josephinefrom advisory 1, 5:00 PM AST Wed Oct 21

In NHC’s words

“SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORMS”
“FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES”

Latest advisory, 5:00 PM AST Wed Oct 21

Josephine advisory history

Every public advisory the National Hurricane Center has issued for Josephine, newest first, back to the first at 5:00 PM AST Wed Oct 21. Headlines are NHC’s own words.

1 advisory · peak winds so far 65 mph · lowest pressure 990 mb

5:00 PM AST Wed Oct 21Advisory 1
Subtropical Storm Josephine
SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORMS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES
65 mph · 990 mb · 37.4N 69.5W · N 6 mph
Read advisory 1 on nhc.noaa.gov ↗

From NHC’s permanent advisory archive (public domain). Times are as NHC issued them.

The official record

NHC’s Josephine advisory archive ↗ — every public advisory, forecast advisory, discussion and wind-probability product, as issued.
NHC Tropical Cyclone Reports ↗ — the final, post-storm analysis of Josephine’s track, intensity and impacts. NHC’s final report typically follows months later, and its best-track numbers can differ from the advisories shown here.
Every 2026 Atlantic storm and the live tropics tracker.

Salty Forecast is a free, ad-free weather site and is not affiliated with NOAA, the National Weather Service or the National Hurricane Center. NHC products quoted here are US Government works in the public domain. Nothing on this page is an official forecast or an instruction to act — for that, use hurricanes.gov and your county emergency management office.