Salty Forecast

The Florida Keys

Big Pine Key Water Temperature

Quiet Lower Keys backcountry flats and reefs.

87°F31°C

That is right about average for this time of year, and holding steady over the last two weeks. The September average here is 87°F.

Updated Monday, September 21 — sea-surface temperature modeled for Big Pine Key by Open-Meteo.

For swimming

Very warm

Bath-warm. Pleasant, though it stops being much relief from the heat of the day.

For fishing

Hot — fish the edges of the day

Early and late is the play. Through the middle of the day fish drop into deeper channels and passes where there's moving water and more oxygen.

The last two weeks

89
89
89
89
89
89
89
89
88
88
88
88
88
87
Tuesday, September 8Monday, September 21

Daily average sea-surface temperature, °F.

Big Pine Key water temperature by month

Averaged from 3 years of daily sea-surface temperature (2023–2025). The range column is the coolest and warmest daily average recorded in that month over the period — a guide to how much any given year can differ, not a record high and low.

MonthAverageRangeSwimming
January74°F6979°FCool but comfortable
February76°F7179°FWarm
March77°F7481°FWarm
April79°F7683°FWarm
May84°F7988°FVery warm
June86°F8489°FVery warm
July88°F8591°FBath water
August89°F8591°FBath water
Septembernow87°F8590°FVery warm
October84°F8087°FVery warm
November80°F7582°FWarm
December76°F7180°FWarm

Warmest on average in August at 89°F; coolest in January at 74°F.

The water at Big Pine Key

Big Pine Key sits in the quiet Lower Keys, ringed by shallow backcountry flats that hold bonefish, permit, and tarpon away from the crowds. The nearby reefs give up snapper and grouper, and the whole area has a slower, wilder feel than the tourist keys. Skinny water and light wind make for prime sight-fishing.

Coupon Bight & the reef

What moves the water temperature here

The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, which is why the water swings so much more between summer and winter than open ocean at the same latitude does. Shallow water heats fast and gives that heat up fast: a single strong winter cold front can pull the inshore bays several degrees down in a couple of days, while the beaches a mile offshore barely move. Wind direction matters too — a sustained offshore breeze can pull cooler water up from below and drop the beach temperature noticeably in a morning.

Inshore bays, canals and flats run warmer than the beach through the summer and colder through the winter, for the same reason. The reading above is for the open water at Big Pine Key; expect the back bays to be a few degrees either side of it depending on the season.

Common questions

What is the water temperature at Big Pine Key right now?
The water at Big Pine Key is currently about 87°F (31°C). The September average here is 87°F.
Is the water warm enough to swim at Big Pine Key in September?
September averages 87°F at Big Pine Key, which most people would call very warm. Bath-warm. Pleasant, though it stops being much relief from the heat of the day.
When is the water warmest at Big Pine Key?
August is the warmest month on average at 89°F, and January the coolest at 74°F. 11 months of the year average 75°F or above.
Why does the water temperature change so quickly here?
The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, so it heats and cools far faster than deep open ocean. A strong winter cold front can pull the inshore water down several degrees in a couple of days, and a sustained offshore wind can drop beach temperatures in a single morning by pulling cooler water up from below.

More for Big Pine Key

Water temperature nearby