Salty Forecast

Big Bend

Horseshoe Beach Water Temperature

One of the last quiet fishing towns on the Big Bend.

86°F30°C

That is about 2°F warmer than average for this time of year, and holding steady over the last two weeks. The September average here is 84°F.

Updated Monday, September 21 — sea-surface temperature modeled for Horseshoe Beach by Open-Meteo.

Out in the open Gulf, NOAA buoy 42036 — 99 miles offshore — is reading 86°F. Deep water offshore runs cooler than the shallows in summer and warmer in winter, so it won't match the beach.

For swimming

Very warm

Bath-warm. Pleasant, though it stops being much relief from the heat of the day.

For fishing

Hot — fish the edges of the day

Early and late is the play. Through the middle of the day fish drop into deeper channels and passes where there's moving water and more oxygen.

The last two weeks

87
88
87
87
87
87
88
88
87
87
86
86
86
86
Tuesday, September 8Monday, September 21

Daily average sea-surface temperature, °F.

Horseshoe Beach water temperature by month

Averaged from 3 years of daily sea-surface temperature (2023–2025). The range column is the coolest and warmest daily average recorded in that month over the period — a guide to how much any given year can differ, not a record high and low.

MonthAverageRangeSwimming
January56°F5162°FCold
February62°F5669°FBracing
March68°F6274°FCool but comfortable
April74°F6979°FCool but comfortable
May81°F7486°FWarm
June85°F8089°FVery warm
July88°F8690°FBath water
August88°F8591°FBath water
Septembernow84°F8188°FVery warm
October77°F7184°FWarm
November70°F6478°FCool but comfortable
December61°F5665°FBracing

Warmest on average in July at 88°F; coolest in January at 56°F.

The water at Horseshoe Beach

Horseshoe Beach is a tiny town at the end of a long county road, with a ramp, a marina, and not much else — which is why the fishing is good. The Gulf here is shallow and grassy for miles, broken by oyster bars and creek mouths that hold redfish and trout, and the same flats fill with scallops in summer. It is skinny, hard-bottom country that rewards knowing the water.

the Big Bend flats

What moves the water temperature here

The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, which is why the water swings so much more between summer and winter than open ocean at the same latitude does. Shallow water heats fast and gives that heat up fast: a single strong winter cold front can pull the inshore bays several degrees down in a couple of days, while the beaches a mile offshore barely move. Wind direction matters too — a sustained offshore breeze can pull cooler water up from below and drop the beach temperature noticeably in a morning.

Inshore bays, canals and flats run warmer than the beach through the summer and colder through the winter, for the same reason. The reading above is for the open water at Horseshoe Beach; expect the back bays to be a few degrees either side of it depending on the season.

Common questions

What is the water temperature at Horseshoe Beach right now?
The water at Horseshoe Beach is currently about 86°F (30°C). The September average here is 84°F.
Is the water warm enough to swim at Horseshoe Beach in September?
September averages 84°F at Horseshoe Beach, which most people would call very warm. Bath-warm. Pleasant, though it stops being much relief from the heat of the day.
When is the water warmest at Horseshoe Beach?
July is the warmest month on average at 88°F, and January the coolest at 56°F. 6 months of the year average 75°F or above.
Why does the water temperature change so quickly here?
The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, so it heats and cools far faster than deep open ocean. A strong winter cold front can pull the inshore water down several degrees in a couple of days, and a sustained offshore wind can drop beach temperatures in a single morning by pulling cooler water up from below.

More for Horseshoe Beach

Water temperature nearby