Salty Forecast

Lemon Bay & Charlotte Harbor

Manasota Key Water Temperature

Lemon Bay & the Gulf

87°F31°C

That is about 2°F cooler than average for this time of year, and holding steady over the last two weeks. The August average here is 89°F.

Updated Thursday, August 6 — sea-surface temperature modeled for Manasota Key by Open-Meteo.

Out in the open Gulf, NOAA buoy 42013 — 34 miles offshore — is reading 87°F. Deep water offshore runs cooler than the shallows in summer and warmer in winter, so it won't match the beach.

For swimming

Very warm

Bath-warm. Pleasant, though it stops being much relief from the heat of the day.

For fishing

Hot — fish the edges of the day

Early and late is the play. Through the middle of the day fish drop into deeper channels and passes where there's moving water and more oxygen.

The last two weeks

88
88
88
88
88
88
87
88
88
87
87
88
87
87
Friday, July 24Thursday, August 6

Daily average sea-surface temperature, °F.

Manasota Key water temperature by month

Averaged from 3 years of daily sea-surface temperature (2023–2025). The range column is the coolest and warmest daily average recorded in that month over the period — a guide to how much any given year can differ, not a record high and low.

MonthAverageRangeSwimming
January65°F5969°FBracing
February68°F6274°FCool but comfortable
March73°F6777°FCool but comfortable
April77°F7481°FWarm
May83°F7888°FVery warm
June86°F8288°FVery warm
July89°F8690°FBath water
Augustnow89°F8591°FBath water
September87°F8589°FVery warm
October81°F7687°FWarm
November74°F6979°FCool but comfortable
December68°F6573°FCool but comfortable

Warmest on average in July at 89°F; coolest in January at 65°F.

What moves the water temperature here

The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, which is why the water swings so much more between summer and winter than open ocean at the same latitude does. Shallow water heats fast and gives that heat up fast: a single strong winter cold front can pull the inshore bays several degrees down in a couple of days, while the beaches a mile offshore barely move. Wind direction matters too — a sustained offshore breeze can pull cooler water up from below and drop the beach temperature noticeably in a morning.

Inshore bays, canals and flats run warmer than the beach through the summer and colder through the winter, for the same reason. The reading above is for the open water at Manasota Key; expect the back bays to be a few degrees either side of it depending on the season.

Common questions

What is the water temperature at Manasota Key right now?
The water at Manasota Key is currently about 87°F (31°C). The August average here is 89°F.
Is the water warm enough to swim at Manasota Key in August?
August averages 89°F at Manasota Key, which most people would call bath water. Warmer than a heated pool. No cooling effect at all, and warm water like this holds less oxygen for the fish.
When is the water warmest at Manasota Key?
July is the warmest month on average at 89°F, and January the coolest at 65°F. 7 months of the year average 75°F or above.
Why does the water temperature change so quickly here?
The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, so it heats and cools far faster than deep open ocean. A strong winter cold front can pull the inshore water down several degrees in a couple of days, and a sustained offshore wind can drop beach temperatures in a single morning by pulling cooler water up from below.

More for Manasota Key

Water temperature nearby