Salty Forecast

Texas Gulf Coast

South Padre Island Fishing Forecast

Should you go? A straight answer for South Padre — scored 0–100 from the actual wind, tide movement, seas, sky and barometer, not just moon tables. Built around speckled trout, redfish, snook.

Today on the water

Today
71/ 100
Good fishing

Worth a trip — 11 mph SE, gusts 20, 1 ft tide falling through sunrise, 1.7 ft seas, falling barometer.

Boating: Good · seas ~1.7 ft · 1 ft of tide

Today’s bite windows

  • 8–11 AMPrimefalling tide + first light
  • 5–6 PMGoodincoming tide + moon overhead or underfoot
  • 8–10 PMPrimeincoming tide + last light

What’s driving it

  • Wind11 mph SE, gusts 20
  • Tide1 ft range · 1 in daylight
  • Seas1.7 ft peak
  • Sky0% rain chance
  • Barometer-0.04 inHg over the day
  • Moonwaxing crescent

The week ahead

Best day this week: Sunday (72/100, good) — 14 mph SE, 1.5 ft tide falling through sunrise, 0.9 ft seas.

DayFishingBoatingWindTide swingSeas
Today71 GoodGood11 mph, gusts 201 ft1.7 ft
Wed, 8/1964 GoodGood13 mph, gusts 241.2 ft1.9 ft
Thu, 8/2066 GoodGood13 mph, gusts 221.4 ft1.6 ft
Fri, 8/2167 GoodGood15 mph, gusts 191.4 ft1.3 ft
Sat, 8/2271 GoodGreat14 mph, gusts 181.5 ft1 ft
Sun, 8/23★ best72 GoodGreat14 mph, gusts 171.5 ft0.9 ft
Mon, 8/2470 GoodGood15 mph, gusts 191.5 ft1.2 ft

Ratings refresh through the day as the forecast models update. The dashboard shows the same scores with the charts behind them.

Best time to fish South Padre

Sight-fishing wants a calm, sunny morning on rising water; the jetties turn on hardest with a strong tide and clean green water.

On any given day, the windows above are the honest answer: they weight moving water first — the middle hours of a falling or incoming tide — then the solunar periods (moon overhead and underfoot), first and last light, and they subtract for wind that makes the water unfishable and for lightning. A slow day still shows its best hour or two, because that’s when you’d go.

How the rating works

Every day gets a 0–100 score from the same data the rest of Salty Forecast runs on: wind carries the most weight (32%), because it decides whether you can even fish, then tide movement (26%), seas at the nearest offshore buoy (12%), and sky, barometer and moon phase (10% each). A falling barometer ahead of a front scores high; a hard post-frontal rise scores low. Nothing here is a black box — the factor bars above show exactly what helped and what hurt.

Generic solunar calculators give South Padre the same “activity” times as a lake in Ohio, because they only look at the moon. The moon matters — it’s in here — but a 20 mph wind or 4-foot seas beats it every time, and that’s why this score reads the whole picture.

Live now on the dashboard

The full South Padre dashboard has this rating beside live radar, the tide curve, hourly wind and the 14-day outlook — free, no account.

Open the live South Padre dashboard →

Common questions

Is today a good day to fish South Padre?
Today rates 71/100 (good). Worth a trip — 11 mph SE, gusts 20, 1 ft tide falling through sunrise, 1.7 ft seas, falling barometer. This updates through the day as the forecast models refresh.
What time should I fish South Padre today?
Today's best windows are 8–11 AM (falling tide + first light) and 5–6 PM (incoming tide + moon overhead or underfoot) and 8–10 PM (incoming tide + last light). Moving water is the biggest single factor — the middle of a tide swing beats slack water almost everywhere.
What's the best day to fish South Padre this week?
Sunday looks strongest at 72/100 (good) — 14 mph SE, 1.5 ft tide falling through sunrise, 0.9 ft seas. The week-ahead table above updates as the outlook firms up.
How is this different from a solunar calendar?
Solunar tables only track the moon, so every town gets the same "activity" times. This rating starts with what actually cancels trips — wind, seas and lightning — then adds real NOAA tide movement, barometric trend and the moon. When a day scores Prime here, it means the whole picture lines up, not just the calendar.

Nearby fishing forecasts

More for South Padre: fishing weather · tide chart

Scored from the Open-Meteo model blend, NOAA tide predictions and the marine wave model. A planning aid, not a guarantee — fish don’t read forecasts, and neither wind nor lightning cares about your plans. Check conditions before you run.