Salty Forecast

Emerald Coast

Mexico Beach Water Temperature

Quiet open Gulf and the artificial reefs off a small town.

Sea-surface temperature

Warm
75°F24°C

Holding steady · last two weeks

That is about 4°F warmer than average for this time of year, and holding steady over the last two weeks. The November average here is 71°F.

Today 75°FNovember average 71°FTypical November 65–77°F

Updated Saturday, November 7 — sea-surface temperature modeled for Mexico Beach by Open-Meteo.

For swimming

Warm

About as good as it gets — warm enough to stay in for hours without getting chilled.

For fishing

Peak season

Snook, redfish and tarpon are all active and feeding. The tarpon migration through the passes runs at the upper end of this range.

The last two weeks

Range 73–76°F▲ +1.2°F over 14 days
Daily average sea-surface temperature, °F.Daily low–highNovember average 71°F
Daily average sea-surface temperature, °F
DateAverage
Oct 2573.8°F
Oct 2673.8°F
Oct 2773.6°F
Oct 2873.4°F
Oct 2973.8°F
Oct 3074.1°F
Oct 3174.3°F
Nov 174.3°F
Nov 274.1°F
Nov 374.3°F
Nov 474.3°F
Nov 575°F
Nov 675.6°F
Nov 775°F

Mexico Beach water temperature by month

Averaged from 3 years of daily sea-surface temperature (2023–2025). The range column is the coolest and warmest daily average recorded in that month over the period — a guide to how much any given year can differ, not a record high and low.

MonthRangeAverage
Jan
Cold
50–64°F
58°F
Feb
Bracing
55–69°F
63°F
Mar
Cool but comfortable
64–73°F
68°F
Apr
Cool but comfortable
69–79°F
73°F
May
Warm
73–85°F
80°F
Jun
Very warm
79–89°F
85°F
Jul
Bath water
85–90°F
88°F
Aug
Bath water
86–90°F
88°F
Sep
Very warm
81–89°F
85°F
Oct
Warm
72–83°F
77°F
Novnow
Cool but comfortable
65–77°F
71°F
Dec
Bracing
56–66°F
62°F

Warmest

88°FJuly

Coolest

58°FJanuary

Warmest on average in July at 88°F; coolest in January at 58°F.

The water at Mexico Beach

Mexico Beach is a small, low-rise town on open Gulf with no high-rises and no pass — the fishing here is surf, nearshore reef, and a short run to some of the best-developed artificial reef fields on the coast. Pompano and whiting work the trough, king mackerel and cobia cruise the bars in spring, and the reefs a few miles out hold snapper and grouper. The town rebuilt itself after Michael and kept its quiet.

the open Gulf

What moves the water temperature here

The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, which is why the water swings so much more between summer and winter than open ocean at the same latitude does. Shallow water heats fast and gives that heat up fast: a single strong winter cold front can pull the inshore bays several degrees down in a couple of days, while the beaches a mile offshore barely move. Wind direction matters too — a sustained offshore breeze can pull cooler water up from below and drop the beach temperature noticeably in a morning.

Inshore bays, canals and flats run warmer than the beach through the summer and colder through the winter, for the same reason. The reading above is for the open water at Mexico Beach; expect the back bays to be a few degrees either side of it depending on the season.

Common questions

What is the water temperature at Mexico Beach right now?
The water at Mexico Beach is currently about 75°F (24°C). The November average here is 71°F.
Is the water warm enough to swim at Mexico Beach in November?
November averages 71°F at Mexico Beach, which most people would call cool but comfortable. Refreshing rather than cold — comfortable once you're past the first minute.
When is the water warmest at Mexico Beach?
July is the warmest month on average at 88°F, and January the coolest at 58°F. 6 months of the year average 75°F or above.
Why does the water temperature change so quickly here?
The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, so it heats and cools far faster than deep open ocean. A strong winter cold front can pull the inshore water down several degrees in a couple of days, and a sustained offshore wind can drop beach temperatures in a single morning by pulling cooler water up from below.

More for Mexico Beach

Water temperature nearby