Salty Forecast

Emerald Coast

Mexico Beach Water Temperature

Quiet open Gulf and the artificial reefs off a small town.

87°F30°C

That is about 2°F warmer than average for this time of year, and holding steady over the last two weeks. The September average here is 85°F.

Updated Sunday, September 20 — sea-surface temperature modeled for Mexico Beach by Open-Meteo.

For swimming

Very warm

Bath-warm. Pleasant, though it stops being much relief from the heat of the day.

For fishing

Hot — fish the edges of the day

Early and late is the play. Through the middle of the day fish drop into deeper channels and passes where there's moving water and more oxygen.

The last two weeks

88
88
88
88
87
87
87
88
88
88
87
86
87
87
Monday, September 7Sunday, September 20

Daily average sea-surface temperature, °F.

Mexico Beach water temperature by month

Averaged from 3 years of daily sea-surface temperature (2023–2025). The range column is the coolest and warmest daily average recorded in that month over the period — a guide to how much any given year can differ, not a record high and low.

MonthAverageRangeSwimming
January58°F5064°FCold
February63°F5569°FBracing
March68°F6473°FCool but comfortable
April73°F6979°FCool but comfortable
May80°F7385°FWarm
June85°F7989°FVery warm
July88°F8590°FBath water
August88°F8690°FBath water
Septembernow85°F8189°FVery warm
October77°F7283°FWarm
November71°F6577°FCool but comfortable
December62°F5666°FBracing

Warmest on average in July at 88°F; coolest in January at 58°F.

The water at Mexico Beach

Mexico Beach is a small, low-rise town on open Gulf with no high-rises and no pass — the fishing here is surf, nearshore reef, and a short run to some of the best-developed artificial reef fields on the coast. Pompano and whiting work the trough, king mackerel and cobia cruise the bars in spring, and the reefs a few miles out hold snapper and grouper. The town rebuilt itself after Michael and kept its quiet.

the open Gulf

What moves the water temperature here

The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, which is why the water swings so much more between summer and winter than open ocean at the same latitude does. Shallow water heats fast and gives that heat up fast: a single strong winter cold front can pull the inshore bays several degrees down in a couple of days, while the beaches a mile offshore barely move. Wind direction matters too — a sustained offshore breeze can pull cooler water up from below and drop the beach temperature noticeably in a morning.

Inshore bays, canals and flats run warmer than the beach through the summer and colder through the winter, for the same reason. The reading above is for the open water at Mexico Beach; expect the back bays to be a few degrees either side of it depending on the season.

Common questions

What is the water temperature at Mexico Beach right now?
The water at Mexico Beach is currently about 87°F (30°C). The September average here is 85°F.
Is the water warm enough to swim at Mexico Beach in September?
September averages 85°F at Mexico Beach, which most people would call very warm. Bath-warm. Pleasant, though it stops being much relief from the heat of the day.
When is the water warmest at Mexico Beach?
July is the warmest month on average at 88°F, and January the coolest at 58°F. 6 months of the year average 75°F or above.
Why does the water temperature change so quickly here?
The Gulf shelf off this coast is shallow, so it heats and cools far faster than deep open ocean. A strong winter cold front can pull the inshore water down several degrees in a couple of days, and a sustained offshore wind can drop beach temperatures in a single morning by pulling cooler water up from below.

More for Mexico Beach

Water temperature nearby